Kevin's blog

April 2008

March CPI rose 6.7%.....with deposit rates of 1%....we have negative interest rates of 5.7%...what can investors do ??

Wednesday 23 Apr 2008 @ 11:32 PM
Singapore's March 2008 CPI rose 6.7% on a year on year basis led by a 7.6% rise in food, 8.1% in housing, 7.9% rise on transport & communications and a 7.3% rise in healthcare. This was not unexpected as the Singapore Government had been warning that inflation would be high at least for the first ha ....
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Adding China Sky Chemical Fbre to my stock BUY list....

Tuesday 22 Apr 2008 @ 11:04 AM
At my recent IES/NTUC/Lim & Tan Seminar, we recommended China Sky Chemical Fibre. It was a stcok chosen by our analyst Aun Nee. The investment merits are sound. The company reported 23% and 28% growth in revenue and net profit in FY2007. Gross profit margin maintained at 35% despite their hig ....
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No Blog last week as I was preparing for my Bear market seminar....key takeaways are

Sunday 20 Apr 2008 @ 8:53 AM
Didnt have time to Blog last week as I was preparing for a seminar in conjunction with NTUC, Lim & Tan and IES (Institute of Engineers Singapore). The slides are on the website and you can download it for a read...email info@nracapital.com if you have questions about the slides as you may not have th ....
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US markets fall sharply on Friday on earnings disappointment and weak economic data - Singapore's Friday rally likely to be shortlived

Saturday 12 Apr 2008 @ 1:46 PM
The US markets fell sharply last Friday with the Dow shedding 257 points and the Nasdaq lower by 62 points to 12325.0 and 2290.0 respectively. GE led the sell off with an 8% decline in Q1-2008 profit which missed its January 2008 guidance. Revenue was also lower by US$1.5bn. On current guidance, GE ....
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Singapore’s 2008 GDP growth maintained at 4-6% after Q1-08 advance estimates – but will this change if the Global economy is in recession

Friday 11 Apr 2008 @ 8:56 AM
Singapore released its advanced Q1-2008 GDP estimate on April 10 with growth of 7.2% year on year and 16.9% quarter on quarter compared to a 4.8% quarter on quarter decline in Q4-2007. Manufacturing expanded by 13.2% followed by construction at 14.6% and services at 7.6%. Many economist believe th ....
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Cosco won US$292mn contract lost US$202mn contract = -S$0.51 in its stock price - what happened ?

Thursday 10 Apr 2008 @ 8:45 PM
Cosco announced that it had won two contracts overnight - a US$131.8mn semi-submersible for an American client and a US$160mn contract from a Danish client for two shuttle tankers. These contracts are in RMB but payment would be in US$ at the prevailing exchange rate at the time of payment. In th ....
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Lessons to be learned from Jade Technologies.........

Tuesday 8 Apr 2008 @ 12:04 PM
The market and investors are still reeling from the surprise withdrawal of the Voluntary Conditional General Offer by Asia Pacific Links Ltd at S$0.225. The withdrawal sent the shares down sharply to S$0.065 after the SGX made the stock a designated security before the start of trading yesterday. ....
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Dow also in a trend reversal with next resistance at 12,xxx

Tuesday 8 Apr 2008 @ 8:12 AM
The Dow was flat overnight as early gains from another rescue of financial entity Washington Mutual gave way to some earnings jitters. On the technical front, the Dow is also trying to build a bottom and perform a trend reversal with the next resistance at 12800. This is very near but as we enter Q ....
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Has the Singapore market bottomed and turned ? Should investors be coming back in ?

Tuesday 8 Apr 2008 @ 7:56 AM
This is the million dollar question facing investors today. I met a fund manager with a large European bank yesterday and his view was that our markets had bottomed, the worst was over and that a rebound was on the way. He cited Asia's strong fundamentals as the main reason behind the view and that ....
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Wall Street closes marginally higher....giving hope that a bottom has been reached...BUT

Friday 4 Apr 2008 @ 8:39 AM
George Soros says - expect Dark Skies Ahead (see Today newspaper) and even lower bottoms ahead. I tend to agree with George Soros mainly because this recent rally was started by an apparent rescue of a number of global investment and commerical banks - Bear Stearns, Lehman, UBS and Deutsche Bank by ....
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Fed Chairman Bernanke all but confirms a US recession....so why is the Singapore market up today ? what are the Charts saying

Thursday 3 Apr 2008 @ 11:49 AM
Fed Chairman Bernanke indicated that the US economy would probably not see any GDP growth this year and might even contract in the first half of 2008 - that means recession but said in a way not to panic the market. This prompted the IMF to cut global growth by 0.4% to 3.7%. Confirming the softness ....
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Dow rises 391 points overnight - the worst is over ? or an April Fool's rally ?

Wednesday 2 Apr 2008 @ 8:29 AM
The strength of the US rally overnight was surprising with the Dow higher by 391 and the Nasdaq by 84 points. Financials led the rally with JP Morgan, AIG, American Express and Bank of America alone contributing about one third of the Dow's rally. The trigger for the rally appeared to be the report ....
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Next to be included in my stock pick list is......Broad....

Tuesday 1 Apr 2008 @ 2:18 PM
Broadway Industrial Group. Missed by the market because of the recent turmoil and negative views toward the tech sector - Broadway reported net attributable profit of S$27.6mn for FYE Dec 31, 2007 - a rise of 33.3%. At half time, net attributable profit was S$8.94mn up 7%. Besides being in the disk ....
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Q1-2008 window dressing is over.....let's see what happens to markets today and into the rest of the week

Tuesday 1 Apr 2008 @ 6:46 AM
The US markets closed up marginally yesterday with the Dow higher by 46 and the Nasdaq by 18. These rises were modest and after three days of declines of almost 500 points in the Dow - it can be considered more as a technical rebound. For the month the US indices are down about 1% and 10% for the qua ....
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Hot Topics

My stock picks / Singapore portfolio was started in October 2008.....changes after the 2009 reporting season

Is this the start of a meaningful correction ???.....a fund manager told me another 10-15% down !!!!

2010 – expect a year of more modest gains compared to 2009....the easy money is over so stock selection and valuations become more important

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Kevin's stock picks

StockDate
Fuxing China Group21/07/10
Jaya Holdings28/06/10
China Animal Healthcare7/05/10
Asti Holdings Ltd27/04/10
Hisaka Holdings15/04/10
...more

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